Develop a statistically-based forecast for the future trend of the essential influencing factors of the chosen sector, industry or business model.

The subject is Financial Planning.. The task is: Take an example of an import or export-oriented sector, industry or business model and specify the risks that arise from doing business with or in that specific country ( the country is Egypt). Also evaluate the implication of the country rating (Standard and Poor, I have already rated the country so just a few words for rating) for the respective business model.
Develop a statistically-based forecast for the future trend of the essential influencing factors of the chosen sector, industry or business model. (Here at this point I need a regression analysis)
I need at least 2900 words for the answer.